The Milwaukee Bucks (10-3), 11-point favorites, will travel to State Farm Arena to square off against the Atlanta Hawks (4-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 233 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 20, 2019.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds
The Bucks will be looking for a similar result after covering the 8.5-point spread against the Chicago Bulls in their last outing, 115-101. The Hawks, on the other hand, were blown out by the Los Angeles Lakers, 122-101, and were unable to cover as 14.5-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game went 14.5 points under the projected point total of 230.5, while the Atlanta game finished 2.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5.
The Bucks had a great free throw rate of 0.293 (above their season average of 0.202) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.555 (above their season average of 0.545). Atlanta, meanwhile, did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (19-25; 76.0 percent). Trae Young had a good outing for Atlanta with 31 points and seven assists. Milwaukee rallied around Giannis Antetokounmpo, who contributed 33 points and 10 rebounds.
The Bucks held the advantage in this series last year, taking three out of four games. In the last matchup, Milwaukee won 115-107. Getting to the free throw line was one of Milwaukee’s biggest advantages. They made 34 trips to the line, while Atlanta went 19 times. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
A little over half of the Bucks’ games have finished over the projected point total. Milwaukee comes into the contest with records of 10-3 straight up (SU) and 7-6 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Milwaukee, Hawks games have finished under the projected point total 53.8 percent of the time. Moreover, Atlanta owns records of 4-9 SU and 5-8 ATS.
The Bucks’ Eric Bledsoe has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 22 points,5.8 assists per game. Meanwhile, Young has averaged 30 points,10.4 assists,2.2 steals during that same time frame for the Hawks.
The inefficient offense of Atlanta (30th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 100.4) will square off against the stingy defense of Milwaukee (fourth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 99.7). The Bucks should have the advantage on that end of the court.
Bucks at Hawks ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.0) while the Hawks rank ninth (46.2).
- Milwaukee ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Atlanta ranks 27th (8.0).
- The Bucks rank second in fast break points per game (18.5) while the Hawks rank 22nd (11.7).
- Milwaukee ranks seventh in points off turnovers (19.1 per game) while Atlanta ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed (20.3 per game).
- Milwaukee averages 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Atlanta ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (9.2).
- The Bucks average 41.0 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Hawks rank 25th in three pointers allowed per game (35.2).
- The Bucks rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.8) while the Hawks rank 19th (14.1).
- Milwaukee ranks 15th in assists per game (23.9) while Atlanta ranks 16th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (52.2) while Atlanta ranks 22nd (43.2).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Milwaukee is 2-0 and Atlanta is 1-0.
- When reaching the century mark, the Bucks are 10-3 and the Hawks are 4-6.
- Milwaukee is 5-4 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 3-3 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Bucks’ 9 road games, while 5 of the Hawks’ 6 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Atlanta has 5 overs.
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, down from 9.5 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (4.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 129.0 points per game (13.5 above their season average).
