Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks ATS Prediction

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The New York Knicks (28-51) will be 9.5-point underdogs at home in Madison Square Garden when they meet the Milwaukee Bucks (42-37). The games Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 219 points and it can be seen on MSG Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 7, 2018.

Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Knicks dismantled the Miami Heat, 122-98, while the Bucks lost to the Brooklyn Nets, 119-111.

New York dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.5 (below their season average of 24.2) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.607 (above their season average of 0.508). Miami was 14.3 and 0.438, respectively, for those same stats. Milwaukee, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 7.0 (better than their season average of 12.4). Damyean Dotson played a pivotal role for New York with 30 points and 11 rebounds. Milwaukee, meanwhile, received a boost from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who finished with 19 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists.

This has potential to be an error-filled game for the offense of New York. New York ranks 22nd in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.3 percent), while the disruptive defense of Milwaukee forces the third-most turnovers in the NBA (15.0 percent). Furthermore, the Bucks rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.223), while the Knicks rank 23rd in opponents FTA rate (0.208).

Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Bucks are involved, as 44 of their 79 games have gone over the total. Milwaukee heads into the contest with records of 42-37 straight up (SU) and 33-41-5 against the spread (ATS).

Knicks games have finished over the projected point total 48.7 percent of the time. Further, New York owns records of 28-51 SU and 36-42 ATS.

The Bucks Eric Bledsoe has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 24.4 points, 5.6 assists and 2.0 steals per game. Meanwhile, Trey Burke has averaged 22.4 points, 8.0 assists and 1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Knicks.

In their three contests this year, the Bucks have won all three. The two teams combined to score 232 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 213. Milwaukee won 120-112 but was unable to cover as a 10-point favorite. One of Milwaukee’s largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They had 39 free throw attempts, while New York had just 14. Antetokounmpo put up a double-double in the victory with 28 points and 10 rebounds.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. New York Knicks Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 13th in assists per game (23.1) while the Knicks rank 21st in assists allowed per game (23.9).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in steals per game (8.8) while New York ranks 26th (6.8).
  • The Knicks rank eighth in second chance points per game (13.4) while the Bucks rank 28th (10.4).
  • New York ranks 12th in rebounds per game (44.2) while Milwaukee ranks last (39.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while New York ranks 14th (4.7).
  • The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while the Knicks rank 23rd (15.2).
  • The Knicks average 46.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Bucks rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9).
  • Neither of these teams shoot many long balls. Milwaukee is 25th in the NBA with 24.7 three pointers per game while New York is 29th with 23.2 threes per game.
  • Milwaukee ranks sixth in fast break points per game (14.6) while New York ranks 27th (8.5).
  • New York is 14-4 when they allow less than 100 points, while Milwaukee is 16-5.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Knicks are 27-28 and the Bucks are 36-20.
  • Milwaukee is 21-16-2 ATS on the road, while New York is 20-18 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 20 of the Knicks 38 home games, while 22 of the Bucks 39 road games have gone over.

Betting Trends:

  • The Bucks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Milwaukee has 5 overs, while New York has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Bucks have outscored opponents by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Milwaukee has been defeated by an average of 0.2 points.
  • During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 106.6 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (5.1 above their season average).