Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks ATS Prediction

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The NBA’s top scoring team will be an 8.5-point favorite on the road at Madison Square Garden, when the Milwaukee Bucks (15-6) clash with the New York Knicks (7-16). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 231 points and it will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. New York Knicks Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last outing. The Bucks (15-point favorites) beat the Chicago Bulls, 116-113, while the Knicks (12.5-point underdogs) fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 117-91. The Milwaukee game finished 1 point under the projected point total of 230, while the New York game went 19 points under the projected point total of 227.

Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Chicago. The Bucks had a rate of 0.563 (below their season average of 0.567), while the Bulls posted a mark of 0.511. New York, meanwhile, did a great job of making free throws (21-22; 95.5 percent). Mario Hezonja played well for New York, contributing 17 points and five rebounds. Milwaukee, meanwhile, received a boost from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who had 36 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists.

In their first matchup this season, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 124-113 victory. He recorded a double-double with 31 points and 15 rebounds. Milwaukee was unable to cover as a 12-point favorite and the two teams combined for 237 points, which was over the projected point total of 227. Milwaukee won the rebounding battle. The Bucks had 19 offensive rebounds and 55 total rebounds, while the Knicks had 11 and 43, respectively.

Vegas is known to place the total low when the Bucks are playing, as 14 of their 21 games have ended over the projected point total. Milwaukee heads into the game with records of 15-6 straight up (SU) and 11-10 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Knicks games, with 12 overs compared to 11 unders. New York is 13-9-1 ATS, despite being 7-16 SU.

Antetokounmpo and Malcolm Brogdon have been playing well over the last five games for Milwaukee. Antetokounmpo has averaged 30 points,13.8 rebounds,7.0 assists,1.8 steals per game, while Brogdon has put up 17 points,3.6 assists a game during that span.

The inefficient offense of New York will battle against the stingy defense of Milwaukee. The Knicks currently rank 26th in offensive efficiency, while the Bucks are fifth in defensive efficiency. The Bucks should have the advantage on that side of the ball.

Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks Betting Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 13 in points off turnovers per game (17.142857142857142) while the Knicks rank 20 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.782608695652176).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in assists per game (27.3) while New York ranks last (18.6).
  • The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (50.5) while the Knicks rank 24th in rebounds allowed per game (46.3).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.5) while New York ranks 23rd (28.8).
  • New York ranks 18 in steals per game (7.478260869565218) while Milwaukee ranks 25 (6.857142857142857).
  • The Bucks rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.5) while the Knicks rank 27th (51.7).
  • The Bucks rank 2 in second chance points allowed per game (10.761904761904763) while the Knicks rank 22 (14.956521739130435).
  • Milwaukee ranks 1 in fast break points allowed per game (9.380952380952381) while New York ranks 7 (11.869565217391305).
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in blocks per game (6.0) while New York ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.9).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Milwaukee is 3-0 and New York is 2-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Bucks are 15-6 and the Knicks are 7-12.
  • Milwaukee is 3-5 ATS on the road, while New York is 5-3-1 ATS at home.
  • In 8 road games, the Bucks have 5 overs and 3 unders.
  • The Knicks have 5 unders and 4 overs in 9 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Milwaukee and New York have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Knicks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 1-4.
  • During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 106.6 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.6 points per game (4.1 below their season average).
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.4, down from 10.7 for the season.