The Milwaukee Bucks (2-0), 8.5-point favorites, will travel to Little Caesars Arena to meet the Detroit Pistons (0-2) in game three of the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 20, 2019.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Odds
In game two, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 120-99 win. He recorded a double-double with 26 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 219 points, which was just over the projected point total of 215, and Milwaukee covered as a 15.5-point favorite. Milwaukee’s 0.583 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Detroit, who had a rate of 0.434.
Vegas is extremely precise when predicting totals of Bucks games, with an even split between overs and unders. Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 62-22 straight up (SU) and 49-32-3 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Pistons’ 84 games, 44 have finished under the total. Moreover, Detroit owns records of 41-43 SU and 42-41-1 ATS.
Detroit might have a tough time finding the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Milwaukee ranks first in defensive efficiency, while the Pistons rank 22nd in offensive efficiency. It will also be a tale of two paces as the up-tempo Bucks rank fifth in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Pistons rank 27th.
Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Pistons rank 12th (16.0).
- Detroit ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.9) while Milwaukee ranks last (36.2).
- The Bucks rank sixth in assists per game (26.2) while the Pistons rank 26th (22.5).
- Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (53.4) while Detroit ranks 22nd (44.7).
- Detroit ranks 14th in second chance points per game (13.2) while Milwaukee ranks 27th (11.7).
- The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Pistons rank 26th (4.0).
- The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (49.8) while the Pistons rank 18th (45.0).
- Milwaukee ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Detroit ranks fourth (6.9).
- Milwaukee ranks sixth in fast break points per game (17.9) while Detroit ranks 29th (10.0).
- Milwaukee is 22-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Detroit is 16-3.
- When scoring over 100 points, the Pistons are 37-25 and the Bucks are 61-18.
- Detroit is 21-19-1 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 24-15-2 ATS on the road.
- In 41 road games, the Bucks have 21 unders and 20 overs.
- The Pistons have 21 overs and 20 unders in 41 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Detroit has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 9.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 98.2 points per game (8.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.4 points per game (2.2 below their season average).
