The NBA’s top shooting defense will be 7-point favorites on the road at Barclays Center, when the Milwaukee Bucks (38-13) go head-to-head with the Brooklyn Nets (28-26). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227.5 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 4, 2019.
Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets Betting Odds
The Bucks defeated the Washington Wizards in their last matchup, 131-115, easily covering as 6-point favorites. The Nets, on the other hand, were beaten by the Orlando Magic, 102-89, and failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game finished 19 points over the projected point total of 227, while the Brooklyn game finished 30.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5.
The Bucks made 24 of their 24 free throws (100.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.594 (above their season average of 0.554). Brooklyn, on the other hand, did an excellent job of making free throws (13-16; 81.3 percent). Ed Davis played well for Brooklyn, contributing 11 points and 16 rebounds. Meanwhile, Milwaukee rallied around Giannis Antetokounmpo, who put up 37 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 129-115 win. He notched a triple-double with 31 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. Milwaukee covered as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 244 points, which was well over the projected point total of 222.5. Milwaukee had a better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 12.9). Brooklyn, on the other hand, had a much better free throw rate (0.304 vs. 0.146).
Of the Bucks’ 51 games, 27 have finished under the projected point total. Milwaukee holds records of 38-13 straight up (SU) and 29-20-2 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Milwaukee, a little over half of Nets games have finished over the total. Moreover, Brooklyn is 28-26 SU and 30-24 ATS.
Brooklyn might struggle to score as they face off against one of the league’s best defenses. Milwaukee currently ranks first in defensive efficiency, while the Nets rank 14th in offensive efficiency.
Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Nets rank 18th (7.8).
- Brooklyn ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (28.7) while Milwaukee ranks last (35.5).
- The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.6) while the Nets rank 23rd (51.3).
- Milwaukee ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while Brooklyn ranks 23rd (14.2).
- Milwaukee ranks fifth in assists per game (26.3) while Brooklyn ranks 21st (23.5).
- The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Nets rank 28th (4.0).
- The Bucks rank sixth in fast break points per game (16.6) while the Nets rank 25th (10.3).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (48.8) while Brooklyn ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (44.6).
- Milwaukee ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (18.0).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Milwaukee is 12-1 and Brooklyn is 7-1.
- The Nets are 27-19 when they score more than 100 points, while the Bucks are 38-10.
- Brooklyn is 14-13 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 13-10-2 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 14 of the Bucks’ 25 road games, while 15 of the Nets’ 27 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Milwaukee and Brooklyn are both 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 114.2 points per game (3.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.8 points per game (1.6 below their season average).
- The Nets have been outscored by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Brooklyn has defeated opponents by an average of 0.0 points.
