The Milwaukee Brewers will play their NL Central nemesis St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The matchup is going to be televised nationally on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 7:15 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (+120) as the underdog to St. Louis (-130). Gamblers are able to wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 8 runs and -120 for under 8. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Brewers +1.5 runs (-175) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (+155).
The Cardinals are 67-56 straight up (SU) and 61-61 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, losing 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.1 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Brewers have gone 68-56 SU this year and are 64-59 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 10.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.1 units ATS.
St. Louis games have an over/under record of 58-59-5 in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 58-61-4.
The southpaw Wade Miley is projected to start for Milwaukee. Miley is 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 7.94 ERA and eight strikeouts across five and two-third innings).
The Cardinals are going with righty Miles Mikolas (12-3, 2.85 ERA), who has 102 punchouts and 26 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.05. Mikolas is 2-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 4.82 ERA over three starts against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.78, along with a K/9 of 10.13.
Brewers hitters have slashed .249/.319/.414 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .310/.373/.515 with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs, 83 runs and 14 stolen bases. Cain is hitting .302 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 63 runs and 22 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.42, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.27 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 59 games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.51 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.49.
St. Louis’ offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .273/.368/.484 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ hitters have been led by outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez. Ozuna is slashing .270/.312/.396 with 14 home runs, 66 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Martinez’s line sits at .308/.370/.469 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 14.6 units and are 50-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 1.6 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
- The over has hit in five of Milwaukee’s last seven contests.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games SU while the Cardinals have won nine of their last 10.
- Milwaukee has posted 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.0 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 18 over their last 10.