Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to host their NL Central foe Milwaukee Brewers at PNC Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising the action and the game will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (-110) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+100). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. You can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at +135 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -155 for the Pirates +1.5.

The Pirates are 35-36 straight up (SU) and 31-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units (ATS). The Brewers, on the other hand, are 42-29 SU and have gone 39-31 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 14.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units ATS.

Pittsburgh games have a 33-31-6 over/under record so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a good under bet with a total record of 27-41-2.

The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin is projected to start for Milwaukee. Chacin is 6-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.

The Pirates are putting the ball in the right hand of Trevor Williams (5-4, 4.38 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who has 51 strikeouts and 26 walks. Williams has yet to face the Brewers this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 3.27 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.15, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 32 games against NL Central foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.39 and the bullpens ERA is 4.52.

Pittsburgh’s hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .276/.352/.491 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Pirates offense has been led by Corey Dickerson, who is slashing .308/.342/.464 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.39 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.76, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

Brewers hitters have slashed .249/.320/.414 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 2.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Lorenzo Cain has provided a spark to the Milwaukee offense. Cain is slashing .291/.393/.446 with eight home runs, 25 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Brewers just dropped a 10-9 game to the Phillies, while the Pirates are coming off of an 8-6 loss against the Reds.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • The Milwaukee defense has allowed five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Pittsburgh over its last 10.