Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Pittsburgh Pirates are prepared to battle against the Milwaukee Brewers at PNC Park. The matchup starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on either ATPT or FSWI.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (+105) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-115). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds stand at +130 for picking the Brewers -1.5 runs and -150 for the Pirates +1.5 runs.

The Brewers are 32-25 SU and are 27-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 4.5 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 27-28 SU and 29-25 ATS. They’ve gained 4.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.3 units ATS.

Pirates games have a 30-22-2 over/under record so far in 2019. The Brewers have been a good under bet with a total record of 22-33-1.

The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin is the projected starter for Milwaukee. Chacin (3-6, 4.88 ERA) has racked up 42 strikeouts in 55.1 innings so far. He has yet to face Pittsburgh this year, but he did make six starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-3 record with a 3.03 ERA and 20 strikeouts.

The Pirates will turn to righty Chris Archer (1-5, 5.75 ERA), who has 40 punchouts and 24 walks, along with a 1.55 WHIP. Archer made two starts against the Brewers in 2018, compiling a 0-2 record with a 10.00 ERA.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.74 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 20 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.82 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.63.

The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .294/.349/.461 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Josh Bell has helped lead the Pirates’ offense this season with 18 home runs, 51 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.29 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.44, along with a WHIP of 1.37.

Brewers hitters have slashed .252/.334/.449 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been spearheaded by Lorenzo Cain. Cain is hitting .263/.317/.397 with four home runs, 24 RBIs, 34 runs and five stolen bases.

The Brewers just took the previous game in this series by a final score of 11 runs to five.

Brewers at Pirates MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
  • The Brewers have a total OPS of .783 this season and an OPS of .784 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .709 overall and .723 versus righties.
  • Milwaukee has posted 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.6 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have won three of their last four games SU.