Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

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The Milwaukee Brewers will square off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in a Sunday showdown. Spectrum SportsNet LA is in line to televise this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Milwaukee (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog to Los Angeles (-140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Brewers are 10-5 SU and are 5-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going, despite having lost 3.5 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 8-8 SU and 6-9 ATS. The team has lost 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.3 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Dodgers games have an over/under record of 11-4 so far in 2019. Brewers games have gone under seven times, gone over six times and pushed on one occasion.

Right-hander Jhoulys Chacin is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Chacin (2-1, 4.24 ERA) has recorded 14 punchouts in 17 innings so far. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 16.62 ERA and three strikeouts across 4.1 innings).

The Dodgers will put the ball in the right hand of Ross Stripling (0-1, 3.78 ERA, 1.14 WHIP), who has 15 strikeouts and five walks this season. Stripling did not record a start against the Brewers in 2018.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 5.4 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.81 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.21 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

Los Angeles’ hitters have produced 6.4 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .251/.317/.461 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers’ hitters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner. Bellinger is slashing .422/.479/.922 with nine home runs, 22 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Turner’s line is .283/.366/.317 with 17 hits, eight RBIs and eight runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.51 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 10.00 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.53, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K-per-9 of 8.72.

The Brewers offense has slashed .261/.347/.463 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .345/.443/.672 with five home runs, 15 RBIs and 14 runs scored. Cain is hitting .317/.382/.450 with one homers, three RBIs and 10 runs scored.

The Brewers have gained 2.3 units and are 3-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 1.3 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to three that went under.

Brewers at Dodgers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Los Angeles has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • The Brewers have an OPS of .811 this season and an OPS of .753 against right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .907 overall and .926 against righties.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 16 over their last 10.