Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers are heading east to face their divisional foe Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the action.
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (-110) is favored over Milwaukee (+100) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs (-110 for both the over and the under). This game currently has a runline of Brewers +1.5 (-210) and Reds -1.5 (+175).
The Reds are 44-36 against the spread (ATS), but only 38-43 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 3.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.4 units ATS. The Brewers have gone 45-39 SU this year and are 39-44 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 2.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.8 units ATS.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 27-50-3 so far in 2019. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 36-44-3.
The right-handed Adrian Houser is getting the nod for Milwaukee. Houser (2-2, 2.94 ERA) has racked up 40 punchouts in 33.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Tyler Mahle (2-8, 4.35 ERA), who has 84 strikeouts and 20 walks this season as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Mahle has yet to face the Brewers this year, but he made two starts against them in 2018, putting together a 0-1 record with a 2.53 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.91 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.15, along with a K/9 of 9.92.
The Brewers offense has slashed .248/.331/.446 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have led Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .328/.425/.704 with 29 home runs, 63 RBIs, 64 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Moustakas (.275/.348/.569) is up to 23 homers, 49 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.67 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 35 games against NL Central foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.66.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .245/.333/.358 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Reds’ batters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto. Suarez is slashing .248/.329/.470 with 17 home runs, 48 RBIs and 38 runs scored, and Votto’s line is .267/.361/.415 with eight homers, 21 RBIs and 41 runs.
The Brewers have gained 2.9 units and are 28-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 29 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 2.4 units and are 31-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve cashed the under.
Brewers vs. Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- Milwaukee has posted 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 15.8 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 12 over their last 10.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .777 this season and an OPS of .779 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .718 overall and .696 against righties.
