The Milwaukee Brewers will face their NL Central foe Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Vegas is listing Milwaukee (-145) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+135). Gamblers are able to wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -110 for over 9 runs and -110 for under 9. The game’s current runline odds sit at +100 for taking the Brewers -1.5 runs and -120 for the Reds +1.5 runs.
The Brewers have gone 73-60 SU this year and are 67-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 2.7 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 57-75 SU and 73-58 ATS. They’ve lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 67-60-4 in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 63-65-4.
Freddy Peralta will get the start for the visiting Brewers. Peralta (6-4, 4.02 ERA) has racked up 86 strikeouts in 69.1 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).
The Reds are handing the ball to righty Matt Harvey (6-7, 4.77 ERA), who has 95 punchouts and 31 walks, as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Harvey is 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.80, along with a K-per-9 of 10.07.
The Brewers offense has slashed .251/.320/.418 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to swat 34 home runs. Yelich is slashing .310/.373/.545 with 25 home runs, 72 RBIs, 91 runs and 14 steals, while Cain (.306/.398/.429) has produced nine homers, 32 RBIs, 68 runs and 24 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.20, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 59 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.53 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.15.
Cincinnati’s offense has put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .255/.320/.382 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is slashing .313/.362/.495 with 19 home runs, 77 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Peraza’s line is .293/.334/.412 with nine homers, 44 RBIs, 71 runs and 20 steals.
The Brewers have gained 14.3 units and are 53-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve hit the under against y starters.
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Milwaukee has recorded 20 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cincinnati has 12 XBH over its last five.
- Cincinnati has posted 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
