Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

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The Milwaukee Brewers are ready to play their division rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise the matchup. The game is slated to get underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas has offered matching -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. Gamblers are able to bet on the games total with odds sitting at -120 for over 9.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 9.5. The games current runline odds sit at +140 for picking the Brewers -1.5 runs and -160 for the Reds +1.5.

The Reds are 47-34 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 34-48 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.4 units (ATS). Cincinnati has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Brewers are 48-33 SU and have gone 45-35 ATS. In total, the teams gained 12.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 39-39-3 so far in 2018. Brewers games have gone under 46 times, gone over 32 times and pushed on two occasions.

Right-hander Jhoulys Chacin is the projected starter for the visiting Brewers. Chacin is 6-3 with a 3.82 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with an 8.31 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Tyler Mahle (6-6, 3.98 ERA), who has 81 punchouts and 36 walks this season as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Mahle is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.93 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.72, along with a K-per-9 of 10.60.

The Brewers offense has slashed .247/.318/.413 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Cain is hitting .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases. Yelich has a .289 average with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 52 runs and 10 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starting pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 37 games against NL Central foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.70 and the bullpens ERA is 4.03.

The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .237/.318/.384 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto have led the Reds batters this year. Gennett is hitting .327/.365/.520 with 13 home runs, 53 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Votto’s line is .297/.429/.451 with eight homers, 42 RBIs and 42 runs.

The Brewers have gained 15.7 units and are 39-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 9.5 units and are 33-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 32 which went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven contests.
  • Milwaukee fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to four errors for Cincinnati over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.