Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick

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The Milwaukee Brewers are making a road trip to Chicago to play their NL Central foe Cubs at Wrigley Field. The matchup will begin at 2:20 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Brewers have gone 67-54 SU this year and are 63-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 9.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.8 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 68-49 SU and 59-58 ATS. They’ve gained 0.6 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units ATS.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 53-61-3 in 2018. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 57-60-4.

Right-hander Jhoulys Chacin will get the nod for Milwaukee. Chacin is 11-4 with a 3.91 ERA and 109 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Chicago this year.

The Cubs are turning to lefty Jose Quintana (10-8, 4.28 ERA), who’s got 105 strikeouts and 54 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Quintana is 2-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 0.95 ERA over three starts against Milwaukee this year.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.01 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.69 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.79, along with a K/9 of 10.13.

The Brewers offense has slashed .249/.319/.414 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .312/.376/.522 with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 14 steals. Cain (.302/.391/.419) is up to eight homers, 30 RBIs, 61 runs and 21 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.16 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.34 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 50 games against NL Central opponents, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.83.

Chicago’s hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .213/.299/.265 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have paced the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is slashing .292/.325/.572 with 25 home runs, 89 RBIs, 73 runs and 19 steals, while Rizzo’s line is .265/.363/.441 with 17 homers, 75 RBIs and 48 runs.

The Brewers have lost 5.8 units and are 13-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 4.5 units and are 44-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 46 that went under.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.2 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit eight over their last 10.