Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins Free Pick

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The Miami Marlins will play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Vegas is listing Milwaukee (-155) as the favorite over Miami (+145). Gamblers can wager on the games total with odds sitting at -105 for over eight runs and -115 for under eight. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -110 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -110 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.

The Marlins are 48-43 against the spread (ATS), but only 37-55 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units (ATS). Miami has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, have gone 54-36 SU this year and are 48-41 ATS. In total, the teams gained 15.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Miami games have had an over/under record of 46-43-2 thus far in 2018. The Brewers have been a good under bet with a total record of 37-49-3.

The right-handed Chase Anderson is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Anderson is 6-6 with a 3.99 ERA and 73 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 5.06 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins are sending righty Jose Urena (2-9, 4.18 ERA) to the mound. Urena has 81 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.18. Urena is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starters have a 4.74 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .322/.396/.489 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the charge for the Marlins hitters this year. Castro is hitting .298/.346/.412 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 55 runs scored, and Anderson is batting .282 with six homers, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.82 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.14, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 10.46.

The Brewers offense has slashed .244/.316/.412 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .285/.362/.459 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs, 55 runs and 11 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .290/.394/.435 with eight homers, 26 RBIs, 50 runs and 16 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 17.5 units and are 41-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 0.7 units and are 31-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 30 that went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven outings.
  • The Brewers have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
  • Milwaukee has posted 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have won six of their last seven games SU.