Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals Betting Preview

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The Washington Nationals will play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Nationals Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this NL matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (-140) is favored against Milwaukee (+130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Nationals are 67-68 straight up (SU) and 63-71 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 25.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.9 units (ATS). Washington has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers have gone 76-60 SU this year and are 67-68 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 10.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 5.7 units ATS. Milwaukee’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Nationals games have a 59-72-3 over/under record in 2018. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 65-66-4.

Chase Anderson will get the start for Milwaukee. The right-handed Anderson (9-7, 4.04 ERA) has recorded 113 strikeouts in 140.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals are turning to righty Stephen Strasburg (7-7, 4.15 ERA), who has 111 strikeouts and 25 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Strasburg did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.

Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The Washington hitters have put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .278/.353/.478 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Turner is slashing .270/.337/.412 with 16 home runs, 55 RBIs, 81 runs and 34 steals, while Rendon is hitting .297 with 18 homers, 66 RBIs and 64 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.83, along with a K/9 of 10.00.

Brewers hitters have slashed .252/.320/.421 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have paced Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .317/.379/.558 with 26 home runs, 76 RBIs, 94 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Cain (.308/.398/.435) has produced 10 homers, 34 RBIs, 72 runs and 24 steals.

The Brewers have gained 14.1 units and are 53-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 45 of those games, as opposed to 53 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 6.5 units and are 49-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, compared to 53 which went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 27.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.8 over its last five.