The Milwaukee Brewers are making a road trip to PETCO Park to square off against the San Diego Padres. This NL matchup will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego to catch the game.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas is listing San Diego (-125) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+115). If you think the game’s total will go under 8 runs, Vegas is currently offering -110 odds. Playing the over will return -110 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -180 for the Brewers +1.5 runs and +160 for the Padres -1.5.
The Padres are 35-37 straight up (SU) and 29-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.6 units ATS. The Brewers have gone 40-31 SU this year and are 35-35 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 2.8 units ATS.
San Diego games have a 35-31-5 over/under record so far in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 31-37-2.
The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin will get the start for the visiting Brewers. Chacin is 3-7 with a 5.74 ERA and 44 strikeouts. This is his first start against San Diego this year. He did make two starts against the Padres in 2018, posting a 1-0 record against them with a 6.75 ERA and four strikeouts.
The Padres are countering with Joey Lucchesi (5-4, 4.11 ERA). Lucchesi has 73 strikeouts and 20 walks, along with a 1.13 WHIP. Lucchesi only made one start against the Brewers in 2018 (0-0, 5.79 ERA across 4.2 innings).
San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.49, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.87 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.
The San Diego offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 9.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .330/.392/.573 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is slashing .282/.336/.443 with 10 home runs, 48 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Machado’s line sits at .261/.343/.448 with 13 homers, 39 RBIs and 41 runs.
For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.75 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.64 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.33, along with a WHIP of 1.40.
The Brewers offense has slashed .254/.335/.456 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is hitting .343/.444/.746 with 26 home runs, 57 RBIs, 56 runs and 16 stolen bases. Moustakas is hitting .280/.346/.587 with 21 homers, 45 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 0.0 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 6.0 units and are 22-37 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 25 that went under the total.
Brewers vs. Padres Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of San Diego’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .790 this season, including an OPS of .813 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .728 overall and .750 against southpaws.
- Milwaukee has recorded 25.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
