Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup

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The Milwaukee Brewers are ready to do battle against their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates in a Sunday matinee. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on ATPT and FSWI.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Pittsburgh (+110) is the home-team underdog against Milwaukee (-120) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Brewers -1.5 runs (+125) and Pirates +1.5 runs (-145).

The Pirates are 28-29 straight up (SU) and 30-26 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 5.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.8 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers are 33-26 SU and have gone 28-30 against the spread. In total, the team’s accumulated 4.7 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 4.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Pittsburgh games have a 32-22-2 over/under record so far in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 24-33-1.

The right-handed Zach Davies is the projected starter for the visiting Brewers. Davies is 5-0 with a 2.19 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face Pittsburgh this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 0-2 record with a 4.00 ERA and six strikeouts.

The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jordan Lyles (5-2, 3.09 ERA), who has 56 strikeouts and 19 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Lyles did not register a start against the Brewers in 2018.

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 5.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 22 games against divisional opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 4.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.57.

The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .320/.379/.460 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Pirates’ offense has been led by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte. Bell is hitting .333/.398/.685 with 18 home runs, 52 RBIs and 43 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .272/.315/.447 with seven homers, 25 RBIs, 32 runs and nine steals.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.59 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a K-per-9 of 9.90.

Brewers hitters have slashed .251/.334/.453 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Milwaukee’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich, who’ve collectively launched 26 home runs. Cain is hitting .261/.315/.389 with four home runs, 24 RBIs, 36 runs and five steals, while Yelich is hitting .309/.424/.718 with 22 homers, 49 RBIs, 46 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 4.2 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 6.5 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 17 that went under the total.

Brewers vs. Pirates MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee has logged 31 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Pittsburgh has 15 XBH over its last five.
  • The Brewers have a team OPS of .786 this season and an OPS of .789 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .716 overall and .732 versus righties.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 25.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 25 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.