Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Preview

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the Milwaukee Brewers at PNC Park. Fox Sports One will showcase the action and the first pitch will be at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Milwaukee (-180) is the favorite over Pittsburgh (+170) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -125 for betting the Brewers -1.5 runs and +105 for the Pirates +1.5.

The Brewers are 32-26 SU and are 28-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 3.3 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 28-28 SU and 29-26 ATS. The team’s gained 3.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.8 units ATS.

Pirates games have an over/under record of 31-22-2 so far in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 23-33-1.

Right-hander Brandon Woodruff will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. Woodruff is 7-1 with a 3.22 ERA and 75 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Pirates will turn to righty Nick Kingham (1-1, 8.28 ERA), who has 28 strikeouts and 15 walks, in addition to a 1.94 WHIP. Kingham made three starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 2-1 record in 2018, posting a 2-1 record with a 7.80 ERA.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.75, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 5.06 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 21 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.90 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.47.

The Pittsburgh offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .298/.349/.414 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Pirates’ batters have been led by Josh Bell, who is hitting .343/.405/.704 with 18 home runs, 52 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.47 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.38, along with a K/9 of 9.86.

The Brewers offense has slashed .251/.332/.448 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Lorenzo Cain has sparked Milwaukee’s offense and is slashing .259/.312/.390 with four home runs, 24 RBIs, 34 runs and five stolen bases.

The Pirates are looking for another win following a 9-4 victory in the prior game of this series.

Brewers at Pirates Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in five of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have hit 23 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
  • The Brewers have a total OPS of .780 this season and an OPS of .783 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .710 overall and .726 against righties.
  • Milwaukee has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.4 over its last five.