The Pittsburgh Pirates are prepared to battle against the Milwaukee Brewers at PNC Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on ATPT and FSWI.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Milwaukee (-115) is coming into this one as the favorite against Pittsburgh (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s runline odds sit at +130 for picking the Brewers -1.5 runs and -150 for the Pirates +1.5.
The Brewers are 31-25 SU and have gone 27-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 4.5 units ATS. Milwaukee’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 27-27 SU and 28-25 ATS. They’ve gained 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.
Pirates games have an over/under record of 30-21-2 so far in 2019. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 22-33-1.
The right-handed Chase Anderson is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. Anderson (2-0, 3.25 ERA) has racked up 29 punchouts in 27.2 innings so far. This will be his first outing against Pittsburgh this year. He made three starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 1-2 record with a 6.32 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Pirates are handing the ball to righty Joe Musgrove (3-5, 4.27 ERA), who’s got 45 punchouts and 17 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Musgrove made two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record with a 6.94 ERA.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 19 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.09.
The Pittsburgh offense has produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .302/.352/.478 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Melky Cabrera. Bell is hitting .345/.409/.718 with 18 home runs, 51 RBIs and 41 runs scored, and Cabrera is hitting .323 with three homers, 16 RBIs and 17 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.30 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.40, along with a K/9 of 9.95.
The Brewers offense has slashed .248/.331/.439 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Cain is slashing .257/.313/.385 with four home runs, 20 RBIs, 33 runs and five steals, while Yelich is slashing .314/.425/.714 with 21 homers, 44 RBIs, 42 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 4.4 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 5.0 units and are 20-18 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 16 that went under.
Brewers vs. Pirates Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee has tallied 22 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Pittsburgh has 17 XBH over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .770 this season and an OPS of .767 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .708 overall and .722 versus righties.
- Pittsburgh has recorded 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.8 over its last five.
