Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers are heading south to take on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Odds
Milwaukee (+125) is entering this game as the underdog against Atlanta (-135) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at nine runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. This game currently has a runline of Brewers +1.5 (-170) and Braves -1.5 (+150).
The Braves are 23-21 straight up (SU) and 20-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.0 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers are 27-19 SU and have gone 23-22 against the spread. In total, the club has accumulated 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going, but have lost 1.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 22-18-3 so far in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 17-27-1.
The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin is projected to start for Milwaukee. Chacin is 3-4 with a 4.57 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and seven strikeouts across seven innings).
The Braves are turning to lefty Max Fried (5-2, 3.25 ERA), who has 41 strikeouts and nine walks as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Fried only made one start against the Brewers in 2018 (0-1, 12.00 ERA across three innings).
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.27 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K-per-9 of 9.77.
The Brewers offense has slashed .248/.335/.434 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to blast 22 home runs. Yelich is slashing .342/.458/.760 with 18 home runs, 40 RBIs, 39 runs and nine steals, while Cain is hitting .265 with four homers, 18 RBIs, 29 runs and five steals.
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
Atlanta’s offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .289/.362/.440 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led the Braves’ batters this year. Freeman is slashing .315/.411/.539 with eight home runs, 25 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and Albies has produced a line of .254/.307/.427 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 2.6 units and are 9-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 2.1 units and are 16-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.
Brewers at Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Milwaukee has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Atlanta has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Braves have won five of their last six games SU.
- Milwaukee fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
- The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Brewers have a team OPS of .769 this season and an OPS of .793 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .774 overall and .812 against southpaws.
