The Milwaukee Brewers are set to face off against the Atlanta Braves in a Saturday night game. This NL matchup will be televised nationally on Fox and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Odds
Atlanta (receiving -125 odds) is hosting this one as the favorite over Milwaukee and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at -180 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +160 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Brewers have gone 27-20 SU this year and are 24-22 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.0 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year, despite having lost 0.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 24-21 SU and 21-23 ATS. The team has lost 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.3 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 23-18-3 thus far in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 18-27-1.
Right-hander Chase Anderson is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Anderson is 2-0 with a 3.20 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 9.00 ERA and four strikeouts over four innings).
The Braves are countering with Kevin Gausman (2-3, 4.50 ERA). Gausman has 46 strikeouts and 17 walks, along with a 1.24 WHIP. Gausman only made one start against the Brewers in 2018 (1-0, 1.13 ERA and eight strikeouts across eight innings).
Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.28 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.65 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Atlanta offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .311/.398/.497 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Braves’ batters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies. Freeman is hitting .312/.406/.547 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while the line for Albies stands at .266/.319/.441 with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 31 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.29 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.41, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K-per-9 of 9.81.
Brewers hitters have slashed .248/.336/.433 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s offensive production has been fueled by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who’ve collectively belted 22 home runs. Yelich is slashing .336/.451/.745 with 18 home runs, 40 RBIs, 39 runs and nine steals. Cain (.265/.327/.400) has produced four homers, 18 RBIs, 31 runs and five steals.
The Brewers have gained 5.3 units and are 15-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 1.1 units and are 17-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.
Brewers vs. Braves Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of Milwaukee’s last seven contests.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .768 this season and an OPS of .763 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .788 overall and .778 versus righties.
- The Braves have won six of their last seven games SU.
- Milwaukee has posted 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
