The Miami (OH) RedHawks (+17) aren’t traveling far to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats at Nippert Stadium. This vital afternoon game is scheduled to get going at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPNU.
Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
In this Saturday game, Cincinnati is tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 17 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to wager $1,200 to win $100 back on the Bearcats (-1200). The RedHawks are getting +710 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 48 points, and if one school can catch a lucky break early, it will likely generate a decent betting opportunity in-game.
This game’s opening line was -16, while the total hasn’t changed since it opened at 48.
The RedHawks have gained 0.0 units this season and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-0.
The Bearcats have gained 0.0 units so far. The team is 1-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 0-2.
The RedHawks are 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bearcats are also 1-1 SU.
The RedHawks want to make it two in a row 48-17 win over Tennessee Tech last week. The D did its part in the win, holding the Golden Eagles to just 208 passing yards and 74 rushing yards. Seth Huner had a good day for the Golden Eagles in that one with 44 yards on two catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Brett Gabbert completed 10 passes for just 152 yards. Tyre Shelton (65 yards on 11 rush attempts) provided the running attack in the win while Dominique Robinson (three receptions, 60 yards) and Jalen Walker (two catches, 60 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Cincinnati were just shut out 42-0 by Ohio State. The defense allowed the Buckeyes to kill the clock by rushing for 270 yards on 46 attempts, including four rush TDs. J.K. Dobbins put up a solid showing, recording 141 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 17 attempts for Ohio State. For Cincinnati, Desmond Ridder completed 13-of-20 passes for 166 yards and one interception. Tavion Thomas (58 yards on 11 rush attempts) and Michael Warren II (15 yards on 10 carries) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Alec Pierce (four receptions, 93 yards) and Trent Cloud (three catches, five yards) led the receiving corps.
Miami (OH) has run the ball on 59.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cincinnati has a rush percentage of 62.9 percent. The RedHawks have produced 124.5 rush yards per game and have five touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Bearcats are averaging 141 rushing yards per game and have just one rush TD.
Judging by the early season results, it seems like the RedHawks could have the advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game, since their running backs has generated 3.8 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.7 YPC to opponents. The Bearcats have tallied 3.4 yards per carry and given up 4.0 YPC to opponents.
The RedHawks offense has logged 172.5 yards/game through the air overall and has two passing scores so far. The Bearcats have put up 204 pass yards per game and also have two total pass TD.
On the defensive side of the ball, Miami (OH) has allowed 143.5 rush yards and 230 pass yards per game. The Cincinnati defense has allowed 197 yards per game to opposing passers and 166.0 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the RedHawks have given up an ANY/A of 6.73 to opposing QBs, while the Bearcats are yielding an ANY/A of 6.46.
Gabbert has been more efficient than Ridder recently, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.94for the year and 7.16 over his last two outings. Ridder’s ANY/A is 3.83 for the year and 6.29 over his past two games.
When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Cincinnati knocked off Miami (OH) by three touchdowns 21-0.
Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Pick
SU Winner: Cincinnati, ATS Winner: Cincinnati, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Cincinnati defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks three times this season. Miami (OH) has registered two sacks.
- Cincinnati has lost two fumbles in 2019 while Miami (OH) has let one get away.
- The RedHawks offense has tallied zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Bearcats have put up two such plays.
- The Miami (OH) defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Cincinnati has given up one such play.
- The Miami (OH) offense has created two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Cincinnati has created one such runs.
- The RedHawks defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bearcats have given up two such runs.
- The O/U for Cincinnati’s last match was set at 51.5. The under cashed in the team’s 42-0 defeat to Ohio State.
- The O/U for Miami (OH)’s previous game was set at 60. The over cashed in the team’s 48-17 victory over Tennessee Tech.
