The Miami Marlins will be facing off against their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the action and the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds
Miami (+170) is entering this game as the underdog to Washington (-180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds sitting at -130 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Marlins have gone just 36-55 SU this year and are 48-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.5 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 45-43 SU and 41-46 ATS. The teams lost 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.1 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 34-51-2 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 45-43-2.
Trevor Richards is getting the start for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 2-5 with a 5.26 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Nationals are sending righty Tanner Roark (3-10, 4.60 ERA) to the mound. Roark has 88 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Roark is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.85, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 32 games against NL East opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.34.
The Washington offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over its last five. The teams hit .314/.385/.486 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced the Nationals offense this year. Turner is hitting .282/.359/.425 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 54 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line is .280/.347/.511 with 12 homers, 39 RBIs and 37 runs.
For the visitors, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.74 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.04, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K-per-9 of 8.18.
The Marlins offense has slashed .241/.309/.366 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .297/.346/.414 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Anderson is slashing .284/.362/.412 with six homers, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.3 units and are 31-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of Miami’s last seven contests.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games SU.
- Miami has posted 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.8 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
