The Washington Nationals will play host to their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the matchup and the game will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-330) is hosting this one as the favorite against Miami (+265) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +135 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -155 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.
The Marlins have gone 62-94 SU this year and are 81-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 79-78 SU and 73-83 ATS. They’ve lost 27.3 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Washington games have had an over/under record of 72-81-3 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 76-74-5.
Jeff Brigham will get the start for Miami. Brigham (0-3, 5.84 ERA) has racked up 10 strikeouts in 12.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Nationals will turn to righty ace Max Scherzer (17-7, 2.57 ERA), who’s got 290 strikeouts and 51 walks as well as a 0.92 WHIP. Scherzer is 4-0 with 25 strikeouts and a 2.67 ERA over four starts against Miami this year.
Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 74 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.18.
The Washington offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .243/.342/.445 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the charge for the Nationals’ offense this year. Turner is slashing .273/.346/.415 with 18 home runs, 68 RBIs, 101 runs and 43 stolen bases, and Rendon is batting .308 with 23 homers, 87 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.39 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.33, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
Marlins hitters have slashed .238/.305/.359 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .278/.329/.400 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .272/.356/.394 with 10 homers, 61 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 4.6 units and are 60-58 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 57 of those games, compared to 56 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Miami has recorded nine extra-base hits over its last five contests. Washington has 20 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 12 over their last 10.
- Miami has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.8 over its last five.
