Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Matchup

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The Miami Marlins will play their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (-220) is favored over Miami (+200) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-110) and Nationals -1.5 runs (-110).

The Marlins have gone 49-76 SU this year and are 62-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.5 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 62-62 SU and 60-63 ATS. The team’s lost 21.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units ATS.

Nationals games have an over/under record of 52-68-3 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 62-58-4.

The right-handed Jose Urena is the probable starter for the visiting Marlins. Urena is 3-12 with a 4.74 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).

The Nationals will be sending lefty Gio Gonzalez (7-9, 4.12 ERA) to the hill. Gonzalez has 113 strikeouts and 63 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.50. Gonzalez is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA over two starts against Miami this year.

As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.86, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 51 games against NL East opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.26.

Washington’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .273/.321/.437 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced the Nationals’ batters this year. Turner is slashing .268/.336/.413 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 75 runs and 32 steals, while Rendon’s line is .294/.352/.501 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.64 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.20, along with a WHIP of 1.33.

The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.307/.359 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .280/.330/.397 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 66 runs scored. Anderson is hitting .277/.354/.400 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 65 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.2 units and are 18-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 4.7 units and are 47-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 50 that went under the total.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in five of Washington’s last seven games.
  • Miami has posted 17.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.