The Washington Nationals will go for their fourth straight victory as they play host to the Miami Marlins at Nationals Park. The matchup will be televised nationally on ESPN and the game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+215) as the underdog to Washington (-235). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -105 for betting the Marlins +1.5 runs and -115 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Nationals are 22-31 straight up (SU) and 22-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.4 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 16-34 SU this year and are 21-28 ATS. In total, the club has lost 8.4 units for moneyline bettors and 13.7 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Nationals games have had an over/under record of 27-22-3 so far in 2019. Miami has been a decent under bet with a total record of 21-27-1.
Right-hander Jose Urena will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. Urena (2-6, 4.30 ERA) has racked up 39 strikeouts in 58.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are going with righty Max Scherzer (2-5, 3.41 ERA), who’s got 96 strikeouts and 16 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Scherzer is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 10.13 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 7.25 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 27 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.41.
The Washington offense has produced 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .301/.376/.509 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Nationals’ batters have been led by right fielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Eaton is slashing .278/.345/.397 with five home runs, 14 RBIs, 30 runs and five stolen bases, and Rendon is batting .329 with 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 39 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.26 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.04 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.26, along with a K-per-9 of 10.03.
The Marlins offense has slashed .225/.289/.329 on its way to 3.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .227/.269/.284 with three home runs, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .231/.316/.360 with five homers, 21 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 7.3 units and are 14-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 10.8 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under.
Marlins at Nationals Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .617 this season and an OPS of .620 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .740 overall and .694 against righties.
- Miami has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
