Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Betting Preview

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The Miami Marlins will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be televising this NL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Vegas is listing Miami (+130) as the underdog to San Diego (-140). The total sits at 7 runs and bettors can take the over for -125 and the under for +105. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds standing at -170 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +150 for the Padres -1.5.

The Padres are just 22-33 SU and 27-27 ATS. The teams lost 3.3 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins have gone 20-33 SU this year and are 26-26 ATS. In total, the teams lost 2.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.9 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 24-28-2 thus far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 24-28.

Right-hander Dan Straily is the probable starter for the visiting Marlins. Straily is 2-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-0 record with a 2.77 ERA and 19 strikeouts.

The Padres are going with righty Tyson Ross (4-3, 3.13 ERA), who has 64 strikeouts and 23 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Ross did not record a start against the Marlins in 2017.

Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.27 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.69 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.75, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 8.72.

The Marlins offense has slashed .233/.303/.345 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .288/.327/.380 with 59 hits, 22 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Anderson has a .279 average with 55 hits, 23 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

For the home team, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.02, a WHIP of 1.52 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.23 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

San Diego’s offense is putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .221/.257/.380 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led the Padres hitters this year. Pirela is hitting .277/.330/.362 with 59 hits, 17 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Hosmer’s line is .256/.350/.441 with six homers, 20 RBIs and 25 runs.

Hosmer appeared to enjoy facing righty pitching at home last season. Across 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (compared to his overall season line of .318/.385/.498).

The Marlins have lost 1.0 units and are 19-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 3.9 units and are 20-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 21 that went under the total.

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Padres have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • San Diego has recorded 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.2 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 10 over their last 10.