The Miami Marlins are set to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field in the 0 game of a divisional doubleheader. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise the matchup.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-170) as the favorite over Miami (+160). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 7.5 runs and -110 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -135 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Mets -1.5.
The Marlins are only 10-27 SU and have gone 14-22 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.7 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 13.6 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 17-20 SU and 19-18 ATS. The team has lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
New York games have had an over/under record of 20-15-2 so far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 16-19-1.
Pablo Lopez is getting the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Lopez (2-4, 4.03 ERA) has racked up 39 strikeouts in 38 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and five strikeouts over six innings).
The Mets will turn to righty Zack Wheeler (2-2, 4.64 ERA), who has 47 strikeouts and 18 walks, along with a 1.34 WHIP. Wheeler made four starts against the Marlins in 2018, compiling a 3-1 record with a 1.29 ERA and 31 strikeouts.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.54, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 19 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.43.
New York’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .201/.248/.320 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have paced the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is slashing .356/.433/.477 with 47 hits, 13 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Alonso’s line sits at .275/.353/.587 with 11 homers, 31 RBIs and 23 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.07 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.39 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.72, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
Marlins hitters have slashed .218/.285/.312 on their way to 2.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .231/.279/.301 with three home runs, 11 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Anderson (.235/.325/.316) has produced two homers, nine RBIs and five runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 6.0 units and are 10-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 13-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 12 which went under the total.
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have a total OPS of .596 this season and an OPS of .590 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .715 overall and .697 versus righties.
- The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games SU.
- Miami has posted 15.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.6 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit six over their last 10.
