The Miami Marlins will be squaring off against the Milwaukee Brewers in a Wednesday night game. This NL showdown will begin at 7:40 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (receiving -215 odds) is the huge favorite against Miami and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Runline odds stand at -110 for picking the Marlins +1.5 runs and -110 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 34-27 straight up (SU) and 30-30 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 6.7 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins have gone 22-36 SU this year and are 26-31 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.4 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 25-34-1 so far in 2019. Marlins games have gone under 30 times, gone over 25 times and pushed on two instances.
The right-handed Sandy Alcantara will get the nod for Miami. Alcantara is 2-5 with a 4.08 ERA and 41 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Brewers are looking to see how Jimmy Nelson can handle major-league hitters. This game represents the first MLB start of the season for the right-handed Nelson.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.59, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.62 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .266/.339/.533 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have paced the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is slashing .320/.432/.722 with 22 home runs, 49 RBIs, 46 runs and 12 steals, while Cain’s line is .256/.310/.382 with four homers, 24 RBIs and 36 runs.
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.19, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 9.95.
The Marlins offense has slashed .237/.299/.350 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .233/.270/.317 with four home runs, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored. Anderson is hitting .240/.321/.369 with six homers, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 5.8 units and are 16-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 6.2 units and are 21-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 23 which went under the total.
Marlins vs. Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .649 this season and an OPS of .653 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .778 overall and .779 versus righties.
- Miami has recorded 26.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 29.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
