Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Indians Free Preview

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The Miami Marlins will head north to play the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. Fox SportsNet Florida will televise this interleague showdown. The first pitch will be at 6:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at Cleveland Indians Odds

Miami (+215) is entering this game as the underdog to Cleveland (-235) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -105 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -115 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 12-9 straight up (SU) and 9-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.4 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 6-16 SU this year and are 9-13 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 7.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 6.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Cleveland games have an 11-10 over/under record so far in 2019. Marlins games have gone under 11 times, gone over 10 times and pushed on one occasion.

The right-handed Pablo Lopez is getting the nod for Miami. Lopez is 1-3 with a 5.85 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Indians are sending righty Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 7.41 ERA) to the mound. Carrasco has 29 strikeouts and five walks to his name, along with a 1.76 WHIP. Carrasco did not register a start against the Marlins in 2018.

Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.85, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 11.6. The bullpen has a 3.56 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

Cleveland’s offense has produced 4.0 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .272/.357/.376 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Carlos Santana and right fielder Leonys Martin have led the Indians’ offense this year. Santana is hitting .379/.506/.500 with 25 hits, 13 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Martin’s line is .267/.375/.440 with 20 hits, six RBIs and 12 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.51 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.88 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.95, along with a WHIP of 1.33.

The Marlins offense has slashed .215/.281/.326 on its way to 2.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Miami’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .247/.304/.329 with 21 hits, six RBIs and eight runs scored, while Anderson (.244/.352/.372) is up to 19 hits, two homers, four RBIs and five runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.1 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 2.4 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Marlins vs. Indians MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in just two of Miami’s last seven outings.
  • The Marlins have a team OPS of .608 this season and an OPS of .600 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .638 overall and .647 versus righties.
  • Miami has posted 16.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.2 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit eight over their last 10.