Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick

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The Miami Marlins will be taking on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The game gets underway 6:35 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will televise this interleague matchup.

Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Boston (-290) as the favorite over Miami (+245). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (+120) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-140).

The Red Sox are 91-42 straight up (SU) and 79-53 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 29.6 units for moneyline bettors and 25.6 units (ATS). The Marlins are 53-80 SU and have gone 68-64 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS.

Boston games have an over/under record of 61-65-6 in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 65-63-4.

Trevor Richards is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 3-7 with a 4.23 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 10.38 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox will put the ball in the left hand of David Price (14-6, 3.50 ERA), who’s got 149 strikeouts and 41 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Price has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.48 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.06, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K-per-9 of 8.06.

Marlins hitters have slashed .240/.308/.361 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Miami’s offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .284/.336/.408 with 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and 71 runs scored. Anderson (.278/.360/.404) has produced 10 homers, 56 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

Boston’s hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .271/.342/.343 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is hitting .338/.409/.656 with 38 home runs, 110 RBIs and 98 runs scored, while Betts has put up a line of .336/.425/.627 with 27 homers, 65 RBIs, 105 runs and 26 steals.

The Marlins have lost 1.2 units and are 19-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under against y starters.

Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in just two of Miami’s last seven outings.
  • Boston has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit five over their last 10.