Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Free Pick

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The Miami Marlins are set to take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to televise this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Odds

Vegas has listed San Diego (-135) as the favorite over Miami (+125). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. You can also bet on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-170) and Padres -1.5 runs (+150).

The Marlins have gone just 20-34 SU this year and are 27-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.9 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 23-33 SU and 27-28 ATS. They’ve lost 4.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Padres games have had an over/under record of 25-28-2 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 25-28.

Jose Urena is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena is 0-7 with a 4.69 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Padres are turning to lefty Clayton Richard (3-6, 4.97 ERA), who’s got 56 strikeouts and 24 walks as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Richard only made one start against the Marlins in 2017 (0-1, 6.43 ERA and seven strikeouts across seven innings).

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.31 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.82, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 8.79.

Marlins hitters have slashed .234/.303/.348 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

Miami’s offense has been powered by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .288/.327/.380 with 59 hits, 22 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Anderson has a .284 average with 57 hits, 24 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

Castro didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching on the road in 2017. Over 55 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .235/.291/.373 (his overall season line was .299/.337/.452).

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.02, a WHIP of 1.51 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.26 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The teams hit .233/.269/.399 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led the Padres hitters this year. Pirela is hitting .273/.329/.356 with 59 hits, 17 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Hosmer’s line sits at .266/.357/.452 with six homers, 21 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 0.3 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 3.9 units and are 20-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 21 that went under the total.

Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • Miami has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.2 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 11 over their last 10.