Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Matchup

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The Miami Marlins will be taking on their divisional foe Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the action and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+182) as the underdog to Washington (-195). The total is sitting at 9 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -120 and the under for even money (+100). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-120) and Nationals -1.5 runs (+100).

The Nationals are 62-61 straight up (SU) and 59-63 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 22.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.9 units (ATS). Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins are 48-76 SU and have gone 62-61 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.5 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Washington games have an over/under record of 51-68-3 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 61-58-4.

Wei-Yin Chen will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Chen is 4-9 with a 5.32 ERA and 72 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.17 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).

The Nationals will turn to lefty Tommy Milone (1-1, 5.24 ERA), who’s got 20 strikeouts and one walks to his credit as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Milone is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Miami this year.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.65 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.19, along with a K-per-9 of 8.13.

Marlins hitters have slashed .240/.306/.358 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have paced Miami’s hitters. Castro is hitting .281/.329/.399 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 66 runs scored. Anderson has a .276 average with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.87 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 50 games against NL East opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.26 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.

The Washington hitters have put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .273/.326/.443 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is slashing .267/.336/.407 with 14 home runs, 49 RBIs, 74 runs and 32 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line is .298/.356/.508 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.2 units and are 18-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 16.3 units and are 13-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 18 that went under.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 games SU.
  • The Miami defense has allowed seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Washington over its last 10.
  • The Marlins have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.