Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Free Pick

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The Washington Nationals are playing host to their division foe Miami Marlins at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds

The Marlins have gone 16-33 SU this year and are 21-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.6 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 21-31 SU and 21-30 ATS. The team has lost 18.5 units for moneyline bettors and 11.4 units ATS.

Washington games have an over/under record of 27-21-3 so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 21-26-1.

Caleb Smith will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Smith is 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Washington this year.

The Nationals will be sending righty Erick Fedde (0-0, 2.87 ERA) to the mound. Fedde has eight strikeouts and five walks to his name, along with a 1.02 WHIP. Fedde has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 4.15 ERA and six strikeouts across four and 1-third innings).

As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 7.09 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 26 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.70 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.15.

The Washington offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .271/.353/.482 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Adam Eaton has helped lead the Nationals’ offense this year with five home runs, 14 RBIs, 28 runs and five stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.15 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.10 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.20, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 10.12.

The Marlins offense has slashed .223/.286/.325 on its way to 2.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Starlin Castro has led Miami’s hitters so far and is hitting .228/.271/.286 with three home runs, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

The Nationals are coming off a 5-0 victory in the prior game of this series.

Marlins vs. Nationals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in five of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
  • The Marlins have an OPS of .612 this season and an OPS of .612 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .733 overall and .694 against righties.
  • Washington has posted 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.