The Miami Marlins will head a few hours up I-75 to Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. This interleague matchup will get underway at 6:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Sun will televise the game.
Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Tampa Bay (receiving -210 odds) is the enormous favorite against Miami and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Marlins +1.5 runs (-115) and Rays -1.5 runs (-105).
The Rays are 63-48 straight up (SU) and 59-52 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 42-65 SU this year and are 56-51 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 1.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.9 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Rays games have an over/under record of 49-55-7 in 2019. Miami has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-53-7.
Elieser Hernandez will get the nod for Miami. The right-handed Hernandez (1-4, 4.93 ERA) has racked up 41 strikeouts in 38.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Rays this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Rays are putting the ball in the right hand of Diego Castillo (1-6, 3.73 ERA), who’s got 47 strikeouts and 19 walks this season as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Castillo is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.35 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game over its last 10 games and 8.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .322/.394/.589 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia have led the charge for the Rays’ offense this year. Pham is slashing .275/.373/.458 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs, 50 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Garcia’s line is .273/.331/.442 with 14 homers, 49 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
For the visitors, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.16 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.61, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 9.45.
Marlins hitters have slashed .237/.295/.361 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Miami’s offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Miguel Rojas and second baseman Starlin Castro. Rojas is slashing .290/.342/.380 with four home runs, 33 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Castro (.249/.276/.352) is up to eight homers, 43 RBIs and 31 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 0.5 units and are 38-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 2.8 units and are 36-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 33 that went under.
Marlins at Rays Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Miami has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. Tampa Bay has 28 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .657 this season and an OPS of .645 against right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS stands at .761 overall and .770 versus righties.
- The Rays have won six of their last seven games SU.
- Miami has posted 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
