Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins will be taking the field versus the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in a Saturday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego is in line to showcase this NL matchup.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Odds
The Padres are 30-27 straight up (SU) and 25-31 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 11.2 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Marlins are 19-36 SU and have gone 24-30 ATS. In total, the club has lost 5.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.0 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
San Diego games have had an over/under record of 25-28-3 thus far in 2019. Miami has been a decent under bet with a total record of 23-30-1.
The right-handed Jose Urena is projected to start for Miami. Urena (3-6, 4.11 ERA) has recorded 43 punchouts in 65.2 innings so far. This will be his first start against San Diego this year. He made two starts against the Padres in 2018, putting together a 0-1 record against them with a 3.00 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Padres are sending Nick Margevicius (2-5, 4.96 ERA) to the mound. Margevicius has 33 strikeouts and 15 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.37. Margevicius did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2018.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.96 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.33, along with a K/9 of 9.91.
Marlins hitters have slashed .229/.292/.335 on their way to 3.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Miami’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .229/.266/.294 with three home runs, 17 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Anderson (.232/.313/.350) is up to five homers, 21 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 3.82 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.30 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.4 K/9.
The San Diego hitters have produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .235/.298/.367 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .296/.343/.463 with nine home runs, 33 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .259/.345/.424 with nine homers, 27 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Padres have gained 3.3 units and are 19-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against righties.
Marlins at Padres Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Each teams has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests.
- Miami has recorded 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 17 over their last 10.
