The Miami Marlins are set to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field in the 2 game of a divisional doubleheader. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise the action.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds
Miami (+135) is the underdog against New York (-145) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-160) and Mets -1.5 runs (+140).
The Mets are 65-78 straight up (SU) and 70-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.6 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Marlins are 57-86 SU and have gone 73-69 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.1 units ATS.
Mets games have an over/under record of 63-70-8 in 2018. Marlins games have gone over 70 times, gone under 67 times and pushed on five occasions.
Jeff Brigham is the probable starter for the visiting Marlins. Brigham is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and two strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will turn to lefty Jason Vargas (5-9, 6.75 ERA) to the mound. Vargas has 63 strikeouts and 26 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.60 WHIP. Vargas is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 60 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.05.
New York’s offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .246/.330/.449 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto have led the Mets’ offense this year. Rosario is hitting .254/.295/.382 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 66 runs and 18 steals, while Conforto’s line sits at .236/.341/.427 with 24 homers, 64 RBIs and 67 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.40 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.29, along with a K/9 of 8.00.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.307/.362 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .286/.337/.410 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson is slashing .272/.357/.399 with 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 3.2 units and are 20-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under against y starters.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
- New York has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
