The Miami Marlins will head north to Wrigley Field to face the Chicago Cubs. This NL matchup starts at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on either NSC+ or FSFL.
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 19-12 straight up (SU) and 15-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.4 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 9-24 SU this year and are 12-20 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.9 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season and 12.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Chicago games have an over/under record of 17-12-1 so far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 14-17-1.
Sandy Alcantara will get the start for Miami. The right-handed Alcantara is 1-3 with a 4.86 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA against Chicago this year.
The Cubs are turning to Cole Hamels (3-0, 3.19 ERA). Hamels has 37 strikeouts and 12 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.09. Hamels is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.62, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.
The Chicago hitters are putting up 5.9 runs per outing, including 6.6 per game over its last 10 games and 8.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .278/.368/.562 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
Shortstop Javier Baez and outfielder Jason Heyward have led the way for the Cubs’ offense so far. Baez is hitting .316/.350/.654 with 11 home runs, 26 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Heyward’s line is .305/.409/.505 with five homers, 17 RBIs and 17 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.86, along with a K/9 of 10.33.
The Marlins offense has slashed .221/.285/.318 on its way to 2.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Miguel Rojas have led Miami’s hitters. Anderson is slashing .240/.328/.322 with 29 hits, eight RBIs and five runs scored, while Rojas is hitting .272/.327/.330 with 28 hits, eight RBIs and nine runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 4.8 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 2.3 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 10 which went under the total.
Marlins vs. Cubs Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in only two of Chicago’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .604 this season, including an OPS of .596 against left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .818 overall and .775 against lefties.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
- Chicago has recorded 25 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 21 over their last 10.
