Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

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The Miami Marlins are traveling north to take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will televise this interleague showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox Odds

Vegas is listing Miami (+215) as the underdog to Boston (-235). Gamblers are able to bet on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over 9.5 runs and +105 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Marlins +1.5 runs (-105) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-115).

The Red Sox are 90-42 straight up (SU) and 79-53 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 29.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 25.6 units (ATS). The Marlins are 53-79 SU and have gone 68-64 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors and 10.1 units ATS.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 61-65-6 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 65-63-4.

Jose Urena will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena (4-12, 4.50 ERA) has racked up 108 strikeouts in 138 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox will turn to lefty Brian Johnson (4-3, 4.12 ERA), who’s got 75 punchouts and 28 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.37. Johnson is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Miami this year.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.47 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.03, along with a K-per-9 of 8.09.

Marlins hitters have slashed .239/.307/.359 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Miami’s offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .282/.334/.398 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .276 with 10 homers, 56 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Boston hitters have produced 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .278/.337/.385 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have paced the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is slashing .337/.407/.657 with 38 home runs, 110 RBIs and 96 runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .336/.422/.628 with 27 homers, 65 RBIs, 104 runs and 26 steals.

The Marlins have lost 1.2 units and are 19-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 31.5 units and are 64-37 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under.

Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in just two of Boston’s last seven games.
  • Miami has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.6 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit four over their last 10.