Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Free Pick

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The streaking Atlanta Braves are searching for their fifth win in a row when they play host to the Miami Marlins at SunTrust Park. The game gets underway 7:20 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be showing the action.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (receiving -160 odds) is hosting this one as the favorite over Miami and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at -145 for betting the Marlins +1.5 runs and +125 for the Braves -1.5.

The Braves are 4-3 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. The Marlins have gone 2-6 SU this year and are 3-4 ATS. In total, the club has lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the year and 1.9 units ATS.

Braves games have a 4-1-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 5-1-1.

Right-hander Sandy Alcantara (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the ball for the visiting Marlins. Alcantara started six games last year and finished the season 2-3 overall with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP.

The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of righty Kyle Wright (0-1, 6.23 ERA), who pitched sparingly last year, going 0-0 overall with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP.

Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 2.86 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 7.11 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In four games against divisional foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.78.

Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .275/.393/.438 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Braves’ offense has been led by Ozzie Albies, who is hitting .423/.516/.615 with 11 hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.70 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.00, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 10.33.

The Marlins offense has slashed .237/.296/.363 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Martin Prado has led Miami’s hitters. Prado is slashing .529/.556/.706 with nine hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.

The Braves took the previous game in this series by shutting the Marlins out 4-0.

Marlins vs. Braves Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Marlins went 5-14 SU against the Braves last season.
  • The Marlins’ bullpen managed 6.75 ERA against the Braves last year.
  • The Marlins have a team OPS of .658 this season and an OPS of .593 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .829 overall and their lefty-righty split is nearly identical.