Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

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The Miami Marlins will be taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks in a Tuesday showdown. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Miami (+150) is entering this one as the underdog to Arizona (-160) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -145 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +125 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 77-74 straight up (SU) and 84-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.0 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, have gone 52-98 SU this year and are 76-73 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 16.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 67-72-11 in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 69-69-11.

Caleb Smith is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Smith (8-10, 4.13 ERA) has recorded 160 strikeouts in 139.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against Arizona this year.

The Diamondbacks will put the ball in the left hand of Alex Young (7-4, 3.38 ERA), who has 61 strikeouts and 21 walks as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Young is 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The Arizona offense has put up 5.0 runs per outing, including 2.1 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .167/.251/.240 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar. Marte is hitting .326/.387/.589 with 32 home runs, 92 RBIs and 96 runs scored, while Escobar’s line is .271/.322/.528 with 35 homers, 114 RBIs and 92 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.50 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.10, along with a K-per-9 of 9.27.

The Marlins offense has slashed .239/.299/.367 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Miami’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .267/.295/.416 with 19 home runs, 78 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Rojas is hitting .283/.334/.377 with five homers, 39 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 0.3 units and are 23-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 6.7 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have a total OPS of .666 this season, including an OPS of .682 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS sits at .762 overall and .853 against lefties.
  • The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
  • Arizona has recorded 12.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 12.6 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit four over their last 10.