The Miami Heat (35-37), 1-point underdogs, will be at Capital One Arena to clash against the Washington Wizards (30-43) in a Southeast Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Seattle at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019.
Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards Betting Odds
Both teams lost in their last game. The Heat (6-point underdogs) were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 116-87, while the Wizards (8.5-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 113-108. The Miami game finished 8.5 points under the projected point total of 211.5, while the Washington game finished 9 points under the projected point total of 230.
Miami had a better turnover percentage (8.6 vs. 13.0) while Washington did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (20-21; 95.2 percent). Washington’s Bradley Beal had a good outing, finishing with 25 points and eight assists. Miami, meanwhile, was lifted by Hassan Whiteside, who recorded 14 points and nine rebounds.
In three contests against each other this year, the Heat have won two. The two teams combined to put up 224 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 211.5. Miami won 115-109 but was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite. Getting to the free throw line was one of Miami’s biggest advantages. They had 25 free throw attempts, while Washington had 19. Beal scored a game-high 33 points.
Just over half of the Heat’s games have finished over the total. Miami comes into the game with records of 35-37 straight up (SU) and 38-32-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas tends to set the total low when the Wizards are involved, as 44 of their 71 games have gone over the projected point total. Further, Washington owns records of 30-43 SU and 33-38-2 ATS.
It will be a matchup of contrasting paces as the fast-breaking Wizards (ranked seventh in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Heat (28th in possessions per game). Also, the Heat, who rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.3 percent), will try to take advantage of the Wizards, who rank 29th in defensive rebounding percentage (73.9 percent).
Miami Heat at Washington Wizards Free Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Wizards rank sixth in steals per game (8.5) while the Heat rank 12th in steals allowed per game (7.5).
- Miami ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.1) while Washington ranks 29th (52.0).
- The Heat rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.4) while the Wizards rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.2).
- Washington scores 18.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Miami ranks 23rd in points off turnovers given up per game (17.4).
- Miami ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (32.2) while Washington ranks 20th in three pointers allowed per game (32.7).
- The Heat rank fourth in assists allowed per game (23.1) while the Wizards rank 27th (26.2).
- The Wizards rank 13th in fast break points per game (14.2) while the Heat rank 27th (9.8).
- Miami ranks seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while Washington ranks 28th (47.2).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Miami is 19-3 and Washington is 9-0.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Wizards are 29-36 and the Heat are 31-19.
- Miami is 23-11 ATS on the road, while Washington is 22-13-1 ATS at home.
- The Heat have 17 overs, 16 unders and 1 push in 34 road games.
- The Wizards have 22 overs and 14 unders in 36 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Miami and Washington have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Heat are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 2-3.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 100.8 points per game (4.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (2.7 below their season average).
- The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, up from 2.6 for the season.
