A 14-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Philadelphia 76ers (20-8), who will be 6.5-point favorites when they square off against the Miami Heat (19-8) at Wells Fargo Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213 points and it will air on ESPN at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 18, 2019.
Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds
Both teams lost as favorites in their last outing. The Heat (3-point favorites) were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 118-111, while the 76ers (4-point favorites) fell to the Brooklyn Nets, 109-89. The Miami game finished 11.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Philadelphia game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.
Miami did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (26-31; 83.9 percent) while Philadelphia had a better turnover percentage (14.6 vs. 13.6). Ben Simmons fueled Philadelphia with 20 points and five rebounds. Miami, meanwhile, received a boost from Bam Adebayo, who contributed 14 points, 13 rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this year, Joel Embiid led the 76ers to a 113-86 victory. He recorded a double-double with 23 points and 11 rebounds. Philadelphia covered as a 6-point favorite and the two teams combined for 199 points, which was under the projected point total of 210.5. Philadelphia made 14 of their 29 three pointers (48.3 percent). Miami was, meanwhile, 6-24 (25.0 percent).
Of the Heat’s 27 games, 15 have finished over the total. Miami holds records of 19-8 straight up (SU) and 16-9-2 against the spread (ATS).
Games featuring the 76ers have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Additionally, Philadelphia owns records of 20-8 SU and 13-12-3 ATS.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Philadelphia offense. Philadelphia ranks 27th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.1 percent), while the pesky defense of Miami forces the seventh-most turnovers in the NBA (14.9 percent). Additionally, the Heat, who rank 25th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.4 percent), will square off against the 76ers, who rank first in defensive rebounding percentage (81.8 percent).
Heat at 76ers Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers lead the NBA with 39.8 rebounds allowed per game while the Heat are third with 41.5 rebounds allowed per game.
- Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (26.7) while Miami ranks 28th (37.8).
- The 76ers rank third in steals per game (8.7) while the Heat rank 17th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Philadelphia ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Miami ranks 15th (13.0).
- Philadelphia ranks 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3) while Miami ranks 27th (19.3).
- The 76ers rank fifth in blocks per game (6.1) while the Heat rank 24th (4.5).
- The 76ers rank 12th in fast break points per game (13.4) while the Heat rank 25th (11.3).
- Philadelphia ranks second in assists allowed per game (21.0) while Miami ranks 19th (24.3).
- Philadelphia is 10-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Miami is 4-1.
- When reaching 100 points, the 76ers are 17-4 and the Heat are 19-4.
- Miami is 7-7-1 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 7-5-2 ATS at home.
- The Heat have 7 overs, 7 unders and 1 push in 15 road games.
- Of the 76ers’ 14 home games, they have 8 unders, 5 overs and 1 push.
Bettings Trends:
- The 76ers are 2-1-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Heat are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Philadelphia has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Miami has 5 overs.
- The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 5.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (7.7 above their season average).
