The Miami Heat (25-9), 2-point favorites, will be at the Amway Center to challenge the Orlando Magic (15-19) in a Southeast Division matchup. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, January 3, 2020, and will air on Fox SportsNet Florida.
Miami Heat at Orlando Magic Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last outing. The Magic (3.5-point favorites) defeated the Washington Wizards 122-101, while the Heat (14-point underdog) beat the Toronto Raptors 84-76. The Orlando game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Miami game went 63 points under the projected point total of 223.
Miami’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Toronto. The Heat had a rate of 0.481 (below their season average of 0.545), while the Raptors posted a mark of 0.348 (below their season average of 0.529). The Magic, meanwhile, had 11 steals and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.9 (above their season average of 21.7). Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic played well, recording 20 points and 12 rebounds. Bam Adebayo, meanwhile was a key piece for Miami with 15 points and 14 rebounds.
The Magic edged out the Heat in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last contest, Orlando won 104-99. Orlando had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.3 vs. 13.0). Miami, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 13.1). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.
Heat games tend to go over the total (60.6 percent). Miami heads into the game with records of 25-9 straight up (SU) and 18-13-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is highly precise when setting the O/U total of Magic games, with an even split between overs and unders. Further, Orlando is 15-19 SU and 14-16-4 ATS.
It might be a tough game for Orlando on the offensive glass. The Magic currently rank 24th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.7 percent), while Miami ranks third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.4 percent). Furthermore, the Heat are among the league’s elite at getting to the line, ranking first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.241). The Magic, however, rank fourth at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.167.
Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Orlando ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while Miami ranks 26th (19.0).
- The Magic rank third in steals per game (8.5) while the Heat rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Orlando ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (33.0) while Miami ranks 28th (37.4).
- The Magic rank second in blocks per game (6.5) while the Heat rank 25th (4.2).
- The Heat rank 22nd in points in the paint per game (45.5) while the Magic rank 25th (44.4).
- Miami ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (41.7) while Orlando ranks 20th (46.3).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Orlando is 8-3 and Miami is 5-1.
- The Heat are 24-5 when they score over 100 points, while the Magic are 11-9.
- Orlando is 6-9-2 ATS at home, while Miami is 8-8-1 ATS on the road.
- The Heat have 9 overs, 7 unders and 1 push in 17 road games.
- The Magic have 10 unders and 7 overs in 17 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Magic are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Heat are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Orlando has 4 unders and 1 over, while Miami has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Magic have outscored opponents by an average of 2.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Orlando has lost by an average of 1.2 points.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 105.2 points per game (6.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.2 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
