The New York Knicks (14-61) welcome the Miami Heat (37-38) to Madison Square Garden. The Knicks will attempt to put an end to their five-game losing streak. Action gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 30, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Seattle.
Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Betting Odds
In their last game, the Knicks (10-point underdogs) were blown out by the Toronto Raptors, 117-92, while The Heat (6-point favorites) defeated the Dallas Mavericks, 105-99. The New York game finished 10.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5, while the Miami game finished 8.5 points under the projected point total of 212.5.
Miami played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.225 (above their season average of 0.174) and a turnover percentage of 9.0 (better than their season average of 12.6). For those same stats, Dallas put up marks of 0.121 and 11.7, respectively. New York, on the other hand, held Toronto to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.0 (below their season average of 22.4). Mitchell Robinson was a key piece for New York with 19 points and 21 rebounds. Miami, meanwhile, was lifted by Goran Dragic, who recorded his zeroth triple-double of the season. He took over, racking up 23 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists.
In their two contests this year, the Heat have won both. The two teams combined for 203 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 210. Miami won 106-97, covering as a 5-point favorite. Miami had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.5 vs. 15.2). New York, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 14.0). Despite the loss, Tim Hardaway Jr. was the game’s leading scorer with 22 points.
Of the Heat’s 75 games, 38 have finished over the O/U total. Miami holds records of 37-38 straight up (SU) and 39-34-2 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Miami, Knicks games have finished under the O/U total 54.7 percent of the time. Moreover, New York is 14-61 SU and 30-43-2 ATS.
New York might have difficulty putting up points as they go head-to-head against one of the league’s best defenses. Miami currently ranks eighth in defensive efficiency, while the Knicks rank 30th in offensive efficiency. Additionally, the Heat, who rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (25.1 percent), will try to exploit the Knicks, who rank 22nd in defensive rebounding percentage (76.3 percent).
Heat vs. Knicks ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (32.2) while the Knicks rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (32.6).
- Miami ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.5) while New York ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (5.8).
- The Heat rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.2) while the Knicks rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
- Miami ranks 17th in assists per game (24.1) while New York ranks last (19.9).
- Miami ranks 21st in points off turnovers per game (15.6) while New York ranks 26th (14.9).
- The Heat rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while the Knicks rank 29th (47.2).
- The Knicks rank 23rd in fast break points per game (11.1) while the Heat rank 29th (9.9).
- Miami ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.1) while New York ranks 21st (50.6).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Miami is 20-3 and New York is 3-1.
- The Heat are 33-19 when they score above 100 points, while the Knicks are 14-36.
- New York is 12-23-2 ATS at home, while Miami is 24-12 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 22 of the Knicks’ 37 home games, while 18 of the Heat’s 36 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Heat are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Miami has 3 unders and 2 overs, while New York has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (2.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (0.6 above their season average).
- The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 22.2, up from 9.4 for the season.
