Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Free Prediction 02/24/20

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The Miami Heat (36-20) will travel to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (15-41). Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 24, 2020, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio.

Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Odds

In their three contests this season, the Heat have won all three. The two teams combined to put up 229 points in their most recent game, which was over the projected point total of 222. Miami won 124-105, covering as 13-point favorites. The Heat’s 14.6 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Cavaliers, who had a rate of 21.3. Nunn was the game’s leading scorer with 24 points.

Matchups including the Heat have a tendency to go over the O/U total (58.9 percent). Miami holds records of 36-20 straight up (SU) and 29-25-2 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Cavaliers’ 56 games, 30 have finished over the total. Further, Cleveland is 15-41 SU and 24-30-2 ATS.

Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the league’s top rebounding teams clash. The Cavaliers are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking fourth in offensive rebounding percentage at 24.7 percent. Meanwhile, Miami ranks fourth in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 79.6 percent. Additionally, the Heat’s fifth-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.546) will square off against the Cavaliers’ 30th-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.560).

Heat at Cavaliers Free Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Heat rank 23rd in points off turnovers per game (16.0) while the Cavaliers rank last (13.8).
  • Miami ranks sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.8) while Cleveland ranks last (54.2).
  • The Cavaliers rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Heat rank 27th (11.8).
  • Miami ranks 10th in assists per game (25.5) while Cleveland ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
  • Cleveland ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (33.1) while Miami ranks 28th (37.7).
  • The Heat rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (6.3).
  • The Heat rank 14th in steals allowed per game (7.6) while the Cavaliers rank 29th (9.3).
  • Miami allows the second-fewest rebounds per game (42.2) while Cleveland ranks fifth (42.9).
  • Miami ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.6) while Cleveland ranks 25th (14.9).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Cleveland is 4-3 and Miami is 7-1.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Cavaliers are 14-28 and the Heat are 35-14.
  • Miami is 12-17-1 ATS on the road, while Cleveland is 10-18-1 ATS at home.
  • In 30 road games, the Heat have 16 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.
  • Of the Cavaliers’ 29 home games, they have 15 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Cavaliers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Heat are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Cleveland has 4 unders and 1 over, while Miami has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (1.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.8 points per game (0.8 above their season average).
  • The Heat’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 3.5 for the season.