The Miami Heat (11-3) and the Philadelphia 76ers (10-5) battle at Wells Fargo Center. The Heat are a 4-point underdog and will attempt to lengthen their five-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214.5 points and action starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 23, 2019.
Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Odds
In the Heat’s last outing, they topped the Chicago Bulls, 116-108, as 9.5-point underdogs. The 76ers, on the other hand, topped the San Antonio Spurs,115-104, but failed to cover as 13-point favorites. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Miami game finished 11 points over the projected point total of 213, while the Philadelphia game finished 9 points over the projected point total of 210.
The Heat made 24 of their 28 free throws (85.7 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.582 (above their season average of 0.560). Philadelphia, on the other hand, dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 31.0 (above their season average of 23.6) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.573 (above their season average of 0.528). For those same stats, San Antonio was 7.3 and 0.541, respectively. Ben Simmons led the way for Philadelphia with 10 points, 13 assists and 10 rebounds to notch his zeroth triple-double of the season. Bam Adebayo, meanwhile had a good outing for Miami, putting up 16 points, 14 rebounds and six assists.
The 76ers captured this series last year, taking two out of three contests. In the last contest, Miami won 122-99. Miami was lights out from beyond the arc (13-27; 48.1 percent). Philadelphia, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.9 vs. 16.7). This is the first time these teams will battle this year.
Games featuring the Heat have finished under the total 53.8 percent of the time. Miami holds records of 11-3 straight up (SU) and 9-2-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the 76ers are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have gone over the projected point total. Moreover, Philadelphia is 10-5 SU and 7-7 ATS.
The Heat’s Adebayo has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 15 points,11.6 rebounds,3.6 assists,1.8 steals per game. Meanwhile, Simmons has averaged 15 points,8.6 assists,7.0 rebounds during that same time frame for the 76ers.
It could be an error-filled game for the Philadelphia offense. Philadelphia ranks 22nd in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.6 percent), while the pesky defense of Miami forces the second-most turnovers in the league (17.1 percent). Additionally, the Heat rank 23rd in offensive rebounding percentage (21.9 percent), while the 76ers rank first in defensive rebounding percentage (83.3 percent).
Heat vs. 76ers Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers allow the fewest rebounds per game (39.9) while the Heat rank second (40.6).
- Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (26.1) while Miami ranks 28th (36.8).
- The 76ers rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (18.5) while the Heat rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.6).
- Philadelphia ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (51.2) while Miami ranks 16th (47.3).
- Philadelphia is third in the league with 4.1 blocks allowed per game while Miami is fourth with 4.1 blocks allowed per game.
- The 76ers rank fifth in steals per game (8.8) while the Heat rank 29th in steals allowed per game (9.4).
- The 76ers rank second in assists allowed per game (20.2) while the Heat rank 12th (23.7).
- Philadelphia ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (9.6) while Miami ranks 15th (13.4).
- Philadelphia is 4-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Miami is 4-1.
- The 76ers are 9-3 when they score over 100 points, while the Heat are 11-1.
- Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS at home, while Miami is 4-2-1 ATS on the road.
- Of the Heat’s 7 road games, they have 4 unders and 3 overs.
- In 5 home games, the 76ers have 3 unders and 2 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Heat are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Miami has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Philadelphia has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Heat’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.4, up from 8.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (2.1 above their season average).
