Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers Free Prediction 11/08/19

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The Los Angeles Lakers (6-1) welcome the Miami Heat (6-2) to Staples Center. The Lakers are an 8-point favorite and will attempt to continue their six-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 8, 2019.

Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds

The Heat come in on a high note after defeating the Phoenix Suns in their last game, 124-108, as 4.5-point underdogs. The Lakers, meanwhile, defeated the Chicago Bulls,118-112, but failed to cover as 7-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Miami game went 21.5 points over the projected point total of 210.5, while the Los Angeles game went 15.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5.

The Heat, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.539, had a fantastic mark of 0.640 and had a turnover percentage of 12.3 (better than their season average of 15.3). Los Angeles, meanwhile, played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.5 (above their season average of 19.6) and a free throw rate of 0.185 (matching their season average). Chicago put up marks of 15.9 and 0.141, respectively, for those same stats. LeBron James played well for Los Angeles, collecting 30 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds on his way to his second triple-double of the year. Jimmy Butler played a key role for Miami with 34 points and five rebounds.

The Lakers dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent game, Los Angeles won 108-105. The Lakers’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Heat. Los Angeles had a rate of 10.8, while Miami posted a mark of 14.6.

Of the Heat’s seven games with betting action, four have finished under the O/U total. Miami heads into the contest with records of 6-2 straight up (SU) and 5-1-1 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Lakers also have typically finished under the O/U total (57.1 percent). Additionally, Los Angeles is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS.

Contrasting styles will be on display in this battle. Dating back to last season, Los Angeles has preferred to play up-tempo (third in possessions per game), while Miami has been more half-court-oriented (23rd in possessions per game).

Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Lakers average 16.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Heat rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in fast break points per game (19.0) while Miami ranks 29th (10.1).
  • The Heat rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.8) while the Lakers rank 17th (49.7).
  • Miami ranks seventh in second chance points per game (13.9) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • Miami averages 32.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 24th in three pointers allowed per game (33.7).
  • The Heat rank eighth in rebounds allowed per game (44.0) while the Lakers rank 26th (46.8).
  • The Heat rank 13th in steals per game (7.9) while the Lakers rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
  • Miami averages 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 15th in blocks allowed per game (5.0).
  • Miami ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.4) while Los Angeles ranks 21st (24.8).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Miami is 24-3 and Los Angeles is 10-0.
  • The Lakers are 41-36 when they score above 100 points, while the Heat are 41-24.