The Chicago Bulls (3-14) will be at home in United Center when they meet the Miami Heat (9-9). Miami is a 7-point favorite on the opening line, while the games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 196 points. Action gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 26, 2017, and it can be seen on WGN Channel 9.
Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls ATS Preview
In the Heat’s last matchup, they beat the Minnesota Timberwolves, 109-97. With 16 points and 10 rebounds, Hassan Whiteside had a good outing for Miami. Miami’s 0.594 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Minnesota, who had a rate of 0.482. The Heat’s mark was above their season average of 0.514.
The Bulls are trying to rebound after their 143-94 loss to the Golden State Warriors in their last outing. Jerian Grant led Chicago in scoring with 21 points on 8-for-10 shooting. Golden State did an excellent job of making free throws (21-21; 100.0 percent). Chicago, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.2 vs. 18.2).
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Miami should have a considerable advantage. The Heat defense ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.496), while the Chicago offense is ranked 30th in effective field goal percentage (0.465).
Of Miami’s 18 games, nine have finished under the projected point total, while 10 of Chicago’s 17 games have finished under the O/U total. The Heat have the better straight up (SU) record (9-9 vs. 3-14) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (7-9-2 vs. 6-9-2).
These teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 188 points, which was under the projected point total of 196. The Heat won 97-91, covering as 10-point underdogs. The Heat dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.205 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.482. For those same stats, the Bulls had marks of 0.135 and 0.444, respectively. In the loss, Lauri Markkanen led all scorers with 25 points.
Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls ATS Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Bulls rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (10.2) while the Heat rank 21st (13.4).
- Miami averages 43.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. Chicago ranks 25th in rebounds allowed per game (46.3).
- Miami ranks 17th in points in the paint per game (42.7) while Chicago ranks 28th (36.5).
- Miami ranks 24th in fast break points per game (8.2) while Chicago ranks 26th (8.1).
- Miami is 6-3 ATS on the road, while Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Heat’s 9 road games, while 5 of the Bulls 6 home games have gone under.
- Chicago is 2-4 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Miami is 6-3.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Heat are 6-4 and the Bulls are 2-4.
- The Heat rank 18th in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while the Bulls rank 29th (13.7).
- Miami ranks third in assists allowed per game (18.7) while Chicago ranks 28th (25.1).
- The Heat rank first in three pointers allowed per game (24.0) while the Bulls rank 20th (29.9).
- The Heat rank 21st in steals per game (7.2) while the Bulls rank 25th (6.8).
- Miami ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.0) while Chicago ranks last (3.1).
Bettings Trends:
- Chicago is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Miami is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 18.6, up from 12.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 98.4 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.0 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
