Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminoles: 11/2/2019 Free Pick

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The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (+5) aren’t traveling far to face their in-conference nemesis Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium. The opening kickoff for this key showdown is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and ABC will televise the action.

Betting Preview: Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles

Miami (FL) is the road underdog in this ACC game and is currently receiving 5 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to put down $200 to win $100 back on the Noles (-200). The Hurricanes are getting +170 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 47.5 points. Some good in-game betting possibilities should be unveiled during this showdown.

Sharp bettors tend to be siding with the Hurricanes. The opening line was -6, while the game’s O/U has yet to move after it was set initially at 47.5.

The less-than-stellar Hurricanes are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and are down 23.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 4-4.

The Seminoles are down 2.1 units this season. The team is 3-4-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 3-5.

The Hurricanes have gone 4-4 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against ACC opponents. The Seminoles are 4-4 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play.

The Hurricanes enter after a 16-12 victory over Pittsburgh last week. The passing attack could’ve been sharper as the Hurricanes completed 14-of-32 passes for 154 yards, one touchdown and one interception. N’Kosi Perry went 10-for-24 for 104 yards and one interception while Jarren Williams completed four-of-eight for 50 yards and one touchdown. Cam’Ron Harris (60 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win. K.J. Osborn (six receptions, 94 yards, one TD) and Michael Harley (four catches, 31 yards) handled the receiving duties.

The Florida State Noles just earned a lopsided 35-17 win over Syracuse. The defense allowed the Orange to run for 192 yards on 51 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Abdul Adams had a productive showing in the loss for Syracuse, recording 56 rushing yards and a score on 11 attempts, along with 30 yards on three catches. For Florida State, Alex Hornibrook completed 15-of-26 passes for 196 yards. Cam Akers (144 rushing yards on 20 attempts, four TDs) and Khalan Laborn (68 yards on 17 carries, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win as Tre’ McKitty (four receptions, 40 yards) and D.J. Matthews (three catches, 39 yards) led the receiving corps.

Miami (FL) has run the ball on 48 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida State has an overall rush percentage of 50.1 percent. The Hurricanes have run for 120.3 yards/game (including 113.4 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 12 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Noles are putting up 139.9 rush yards per game (133.5 in conference) and have 15 total rushing TDs.

The Hurricanes offense has tallied 263.9 yards per game in the air overall (262.8 per game against conference opposition) and has 16 passing scores so far. The Noles have put up 277.1 pass yards per contest (268 in the ACC) and have 17 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Miami (FL) appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 106.1 rush yards and 193.9 pass yards per game. The Florida State defense has allowed 275.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 169.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hurricanes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.11 to opponents, while the Noles have given up a 6.02 ANY/A.

Offensively, Perry is up to 787 passing yards on the year, and has completed 61-of-108 attempts with six scores through the air and two interceptions. He’s got a 6.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.64 over the past two outings.

For the home team, James Blackman has connected on 97-of-150 passes for 1,060 yards, nine TDs and four INTs. Blackman’s ANY/A stands at 6.12 for the year and 6.21 across his past two outings.

When these two programs met last year, Miami (FL) earned the win 28-27.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles Free Pick

SU Winner: Miami (FL), ATS Winner: Miami (FL), O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Hurricanes offense has recorded four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Seminoles have put up 10 such plays.
  • The Miami (FL) defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Florida State has given up four such plays.
  • The Miami (FL) offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Florida State has created nine such runs.
  • The Hurricanes defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Seminoles have given up eight such runs.
  • The Miami (FL) defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 25 times this season. Florida State has registered 24 sacks.
  • Miami (FL), as a team, has produced 3.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
  • Florida State has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.4 over its last two.
  • Over its last three matchups, Florida State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for Miami (FL)’s last game was set at 42. The under cashed in the team’s 16-12 victory over Pittsburgh.
  • In its last three contests, Miami (FL) is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Florida State’s last matchup was set at 60. The under cashed in the 35-17 triumph over Syracuse.